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Saturday
Sep072019

Wheaton Precious Metals Corporation A $100.00 Streamer

Preamble

As a speculator I traded in and out of Wheaton Precious Metals Corporation (WPM) for many years via the stock itself and also through a number of options trades. We first covered this company in a post entitled Silver Wheaton on Tuesday, 11th July 2006, and have penned over 80 articles since then as we were very active traders throughout the bull phase of the precious metals market.

Wheaton Precious Metals Corporation

Formally known as Silver Wheaton Corp back in the day

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Thursday
Sep052019

Fast And Furious Silver Prices Prepare To Rocket To New All Time Highs

Preamble

On the 10th July 2019 we penned an article entitled: Silver Prices Prepare For Blast-off and concluded as follows;

The last eight years have been dismal for silver and silver miners.

Higher lows are being formed, which is a positive indication of things to come.

Gold has been the center of attention and silver has been left behind. The tide is turning, and silver prices should make some serious gains from

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Friday
Aug232019

The Jackson Hole Jolly For Central Bankers And The Ramifications For Gold

Preamble

Investors and speculators alike awaited with bated breath for the latest meeting of the central bankers to be concluded. Given a less than positive economic future the bankers are looking to more financial stimuli in an attempt to cushion the upcoming recession. 

Some news outlets have reported that there is now $16 trillion worth of global negative interest rate debt. Who in their right minds invests their hard-earned cash in a dead certainty of a loser? A pension fund that is paying out at a rate of 5%-6% is reliant on an investment that has a negative return, how long can that go on,

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Wednesday
Aug142019

Gold: The 2 Main Influences Are The U.S. Dollar And The S&P 500 (Part 2)

Preamble

On the 2nd of July 2019 we posted Part One of this article with the following summary points:

After six years in the doldrums gold has suddenly come to life, however the two main influences on it are the U.S. dollar and the S&P 500.

Gold has an inverse relationship with the U.S. dollar and tends to move in the opposite direction to it.

We're all aware that

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Wednesday
Aug072019

Gold: Rock, Paper, Scissors 

Preamble

Gold is at the starting gate of a major bull run, it is now ‘Game On’.

Talking of games, in the game commonly known as Rock, Paper, Scissors, rock beats scissors, paper beats rock and scissors beat paper. Gold has constantly lost to paper as evident by the correlation of sudden selling on the paper market and the corresponding reduction in the price of physical gold.

It is time that the scissors severed the link between paper and rock in order that physical gold can find its true value. In this article we will take a quick look at both the paper market and the physical market for gold

First a word of warning,

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Wednesday
Jul312019

The Feds Rate Cut Sends The US Dollar Higher and Gold Lower

Preamble

Monetary policy has long been influential in gold's fortunes. In recent times, the Fed has used bond buying and reductions to interest rates as the economy faltered. This action serves the purpose of providing more and cheaper funds for the markets to function. We have been through a sustained period of monetary easing which has resulted in the S&P 500 climbing to record highs. The Fed then decided to "normalize" rates in that it wanted to raise rates to around 6% in order to provide the wriggle room needed to offset a downturn in economic activity. A series of rate hikes was then implemented, but the Fed failed to get anywhere near its stated aim.

The Federal Reserve Reduces Rates

This week, faced with a perceived faltering economy,

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Sunday
Jul282019

Its Time To Rotate Out Of The S&P 500 And Into Precious Metals

Preamble

Rotation in the stock market isn’t new investors have been switching from sector to another since the markets were formed. The S&P500 has been in the ascendancy for approximately ten years and is due for a correction. The question for those involved is where to go next and there are many opportunities available to them. To name just a few there is land, property, art, antiques, autos, jewelry, gold and silver, etc. Some of these alternative investments are already considered to be in a bubble apart from gold and silver which is a sector that has taken a beaten over the last few years.

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Wednesday
Jul242019

Precious Metal Stocks Are Not An Investment They Are A Speculation 

Preamble

Let’s start by defining investment and speculation and for this purpose I have used Investopedia:

An investment is an asset or item acquired with the goal of generating income or appreciation.

Speculation refers to the act of conducting a financial transaction that has substantial risk of losing value but also holds the expectation of a significant gain or other major value

Precious metals such as physical gold and physical silver are an investment and can be acquired and held for long periods of time.

Precious metals mining sector

The precious metals mining sector is not an investment for the simple reason

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Monday
Jul222019

Gold And Silver Stocks: Buy As Monetary Policy Is Relaxed

Preamble

Gold and silver stocks had been out of favor for years and as a result they have had to cut costs dramatically in order to avoid bankruptcy. The largely unhedged stocks as represented by the Gold Bugs Index, the HUI, fell from an all-time high of 630 down to 100 registering a loss of 84% reduction in their market capitalization.  

In June 2019 the HUI stood at 145 and since then as managed to regain some of its value by rallying to 210 for a gain of 45% in less than 2 months.

Why the sudden interest

The main reason for this sudden change is the anticipated demise of the US Dollar as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meet on the 30th and 31st of July and it is a given that they will cut interest rates by twenty-five or possibly fifty basis points. This action by the FOMC signals to the market that all is not well, and they are trying to get ahead of the curve as the economy falters. This relaxation in monetary policy will weaken the US dollar and gold which has an inverse relationship with the US dollar will cost more in US Dollar terms as the US Dollar declines in value.

Central bankers will take a similar course of action in order to support the world economy as it begins to sputter. For instance,

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Wednesday
Jul172019

Is The Future For Silver Shiny Or Not? (Part Two)

Background

In January 2019 we penned an article entitled: Is The Future For Silver Shiny Or Not? In which we said:

1. Every picture tells a story, so we will take a quick look at the chart of silver's progress, and it is not a pretty sight

2. There have been a number of rallies which have added some cheer for silver bugs to celebrate, but these rallies didn't have the legs to mount a serious challenge to previous all-time highs and in hindsight turned out to be head fakes.

We are now seven months further down the line and the ugly face of silver appears to be undergoing a face lift.

Ten-year silver chart  

  

The last eight years

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